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Although in some places the weak base layer seems to be less of a problem recently, with up to 40cm of snow, strong S winds, and warm temperatures predicted for the next storm cycle, the elevated danger pattern that we've seen all season so far continues! And we need to continue to take care to avoid areas where avalanches could happen. Thanks for reading the forecast - please spread the word, and support our work by becoming a member (you get some nice benefits too) - check the 'join us' page in the 'about' section.
Lots of size 1-2 natural slab avalanches along the Miketi-Sheli-Lomisa ridge
Size 2 slide on SE face of smaller Bidara (crown at around 2900 m.)
Size 2 avalanche on Sadzele S face right below the old Sadzele lift (crown at 3000 m.)
Numerous natural and rider-triggered slab size 1-2 avalanches in lower Kobi area.
N, NE, NW slopes between 2500 and 2200 m.
Size 1 slab avalanche on the far skier's right wall in Kobi valley resort zone (NW face, around 2700m )
MULTIPLE windslabs seen around the area, some up to size 3 which probably involved deeper layers. Some very large debris fields seen near the valley floor off the Lomisa ridge area.
The depth of snow varies through the forecast area, from less than 100cm in the north to more than 150cm in the west.
A sugary, weak 10-20 cm thick base layer at ground still remains a concern in the high alpine and alpine zones on W, N, and E slopes - but the areas this can be found are 'patchy' (i.e. not everywhere).
Big areas of surface hoar were reported in wind-shielded areas at higher elevations before the 05 Feb storm, and a few other weaknesses can be seen in the snowpack, especially where it is shallow.
Up to 40cm of snow at above 2000m with strong winds up high over
Friday and Saturday, freezing level going above 2000m during the daytime.
A good chance of loose wet slides in the sub-alpine as rain and wet snow falls. Flat light and low visibility will make navigation difficult.